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PJP48 mid-season evaluation of NBA Draft 2021 by PER

By on Jan 4, 2022, 6:35pm CST +

Right three tables below all with the same data but different POVs. (note about 10 players did not play at all or play enough to bother with their PERs)

First columns contain the original draft order and players current PER.

The second set are the draft re-done based on PER.

The third set is the players drafted cohort but in order of my latest PJP48 scores.

As you can see, the metric is much more correct than the NBA when it comes to predicting efficiency. Upshot, trade for Queta and Preston presto Presti!

# Pos Name PJP48 REAL DRAFT PER # Pos Name PJP48 PER DRAFT PER # Pos Name PJP48 PJP48 SCORES PER
1 SF Cade 14.7 Cunningham 11.9 1 SG Jaden 15.4 Springer 27.2 16 C Alperen 30.6 Sengun* 18.3
2 SG Jalen 13.6 Green* 10.1 2 C Charles 26.8 Bassey 22.2 53 C Charles 26.8 Bassey 22.2
3 C Evan 22.3 Mobley 16.7 3 C Day'Ron 24.7 Sharpe 19.2 39 C Neemias 25.1 Queta
4 SF Scottie 17.8 Barnes 17.1 4 C Alperen 30.6 Sengun* 18.3 29 C Day'Ron 24.7 Sharpe 19.2
5 PG Jalen 14.5 Suggs 7.7 5 SF Scottie 17.8 Barnes 17.1 6 SG Josh 23.2 Giddey* 13.1
6 SG Josh 23.2 Giddey* 13.1 6 C Evan 22.3 Mobley 16.7 22 C Isaiah 22.6 Jackson 11.6
7 SF Jonathan 6.3 Kuminga* 12 7 SF Franz 16.9 Wagner 15.1 3 C Evan 22.3 Mobley 16.7
8 SF Franz 16.9 Wagner 15.1 8 PF Jericho 17.4 Sims 14.7 61 SF Justin 22.2 Champagnie 13.2
9 PG Davion 14.0 Mitchell 10.8 9 PF Isaiah 11.0 Todd* 14.1 20 SF Jalen 21.3 Johnson 11
11 SG James 9.6 Bouknight 10.7 10 SF Joe 17.4 Wieskamp 14.1 30 PF Santi 21.1 Aldama 9.9
12 SG Joshua 12.1 Primo 11.9 11 PF Luca 18.1 Garza 14 33 PG Jason 20.3 Preston
13 SG Chris 11.7 Duarte 12.1 12 SF Justin 22.2 Champagnie 13.2 23 PF Usman 19.2 Garuba* 11.6
14 SG Moses 14.1 Moody 5.1 13 SG Josh 23.2 Giddey* 13.1 52 PF Luca 18.1 Garza 14
15 SF Corey 13.9 Kispert 10 14 PF Sandro 12.0 M-kelashvili 12.7 4 SF Scottie 17.8 Barnes 17.1
16 C Alperen 30.6 Sengun* 18.3 15 SG Josh 11.2 Christopher 12.2 50 PF Filip 17.5 Petrusev*
17 SF Trey 11.7 Murphy III 8.3 16 SG Chris 11.7 Duarte 12.1 58 PF Jericho 17.4 Sims 14.7
18 PG Tre 15.0 Mann 9.9 17 SF Jonathan 6.3 Kuminga* 12 41 SF Joe 17.4 Wieskamp 14.1
19 C Kai 15.2 Jones 3.6 18 SF Cade 14.7 Cunningham 11.9 46 SF Dalano 17.0 Banton 10.3
20 SF Jalen 21.3 Johnson 11 19 SG Joshua 12.1 Primo 11.9 8 SF Franz 16.9 Wagner 15.1
21 SG Keon 10.1 Johnson 10.4 20 C Herbert 15.0 Jones 11.7 32 PF Jeremiah 16.3 Robinson-Earl 11.6
22 C Isaiah 22.6 Jackson 11.6 21 SG Aaron 12.8 Wiggins 11.7 48 PG Sharife 16.2 Cooper
23 PF Usman 19.2 Garuba* 11.6 22 C Isaiah 22.6 Jackson 11.6 40 PG Jared 16.1 Butler 8.6
24 SG Josh 11.2 Christopher 12.2 23 PF Usman 19.2 Garuba* 11.6 38 SG Ayo 16.1 Dosunmu 10.1
25 SG Quentin 13.4 Grimes 11 24 PF Jeremiah 16.3 Robinson-Earl 11.6 37 SF JT 16.0 Thor 8.8
26 SG Nas'Shon 11.5 Hyland 11 25 SF Kessler 16.0 Edwards 11.5 44 SF Kessler 16.0 Edwards 11.5
27 SG Cam 7.7 Thomas 9.9 26 SF Jalen 21.3 Johnson 11 36 PG Miles 15.8 McBride 8.5
28 SG Jaden 15.4 Springer 27.2 27 SG Quentin 13.4 Grimes 11 28 SG Jaden 15.4 Springer 27.2
29 C Day'Ron 24.7 Sharpe 19.2 28 SG Nas'Shon 11.5 Hyland 11 19 C Kai 15.2 Jones 3.6
30 PF Santi 21.1 Aldama 9.9 29 PG Davion 14.0 Mitchell 10.8 59 PF RaiQuan 15.1 Gray
31 PF Isaiah 11.0 Todd* 14.1 30 SG James 9.6 Bouknight 10.7 35 C Herbert 15.0 Jones 11.7
32 PF Jeremiah 16.3 Robinson-Earl 11.6 31 SG Keon 10.1 Johnson 10.4 18 PG Tre 15.0 Mann 9.9
33 PG Jason 20.3 Preston 32 SF Dalano 17.0 Banton 10.3 1 SF Cade 14.7 Cunningham 11.9
34 PG Rokas 12.6 Jokubaitis* 33 SG Jalen 13.6 Green* 10.1 5 PG Jalen 14.5 Suggs 7.7
36 PG Miles 15.8 McBride 8.5 34 SG Ayo 16.1 Dosunmu 10.1 49 PF Trendon 14.4 Watford
35 C Herbert 15.0 Jones 11.7 35 SF Corey 13.9 Kispert 10 14 SG Moses 14.1 Moody 5.1
37 SF JT 16.0 Thor 8.8 36 PG Tre 15.0 Mann 9.9 9 PG Davion 14.0 Mitchell 10.8
38 SG Ayo 16.1 Dosunmu 10.1 37 SG Cam 7.7 Thomas 9.9 15 SF Corey 13.9 Kispert 10
39 C Neemias 25.1 Queta 38 PF Santi 21.1 Aldama 9.9 45 SG Juhann 13.9 Begarin*
40 PG Jared 16.1 Butler 8.6 39 SG BJ 8.8 Boston 9.7 2 SG Jalen 13.6 Green* 10.1
41 SF Joe 17.4 Wieskamp 14.1 40 SF JT 16.0 Thor 8.8 25 SG Quentin 13.4 Grimes 11
42 PF Isaiah 13.2 Livers 41 PG Jared 16.1 Butler 8.6 42 PF Isaiah 13.2 Livers
43 PF Greg 12.4 Brown 8.3 42 PG Miles 15.8 McBride 8.5 55 SG Aaron 12.8 Wiggins 11.7
44 SF Kessler 16.0 Edwards 11.5 43 SF Trey 11.7 Murphy III 8.3 34 PG Rokas 12.6 Jokubaitis*
45 SG Juhann 13.9 Begarin* 44 PF Greg 12.4 Brown 8.3 43 PF Greg 12.4 Brown 8.3
46 SF Dalano 17.0 Banton 10.3 45 PG Jalen 14.5 Suggs 7.7 12 SG Joshua 12.1 Primo 11.9
47 SG David 10.2 Johnson 46 SG Moses 14.1 Moody 5.1 54 PF Sandro 12.0 M-kelashvili 12.7
48 PG Sharife 16.2 Cooper 47 C Kai 15.2 Jones 3.6 17 SF Trey 11.7 Murphy III 8.3
49 PF Trendon 14.4 Watford 48 PG Jason 20.3 Preston 13 SG Chris 11.7 Duarte 12.1
49 PG Marcus 11.6 Zegarowski 49 PG Rokas 12.6 Jokubaitis* 49 PG Marcus 11.6 Zegarowski
50 PF Filip 17.5 Petrusev* 50 C Neemias 25.1 Queta 26 SG Nas'Shon 11.5 Hyland 11
51 SG BJ 8.8 Boston 9.7 51 PF Isaiah 13.2 Livers 24 SG Josh 11.2 Christopher 12.2
52 PF Luca 18.1 Garza 14 52 SG Juhann 13.9 Begarin* 31 PF Isaiah 11.0 Todd* 14.1
53 C Charles 26.8 Bassey 22.2 53 SG David 10.2 Johnson 47 SG David 10.2 Johnson
54 PF Sandro 12.0 M-kelashvili 12.7 54 PG Sharife 16.2 Cooper 21 SG Keon 10.1 Johnson 10.4
55 SG Aaron 12.8 Wiggins 11.7 55 PF Trendon 14.4 Watford 11 SG James 9.6 Bouknight 10.7
56 SF Scottie 9.2 Lewis 56 PG Marcus 11.6 Zegarowski 56 SF Scottie 9.2 Lewis
58 PF Jericho 17.4 Sims 14.7 57 PF Filip 17.5 Petrusev* 51 SG BJ 8.8 Boston 9.7
59 PF RaiQuan 15.1 Gray 58 SF Scottie 9.2 Lewis 27 SG Cam 7.7 Thomas 9.9
61 SF Justin 22.2 Champagnie 13.2 59 PF RaiQuan 15.1 Gray 7 SF Jonathan 6.3 Kuminga* 12

This post does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of Welcome to Loud City or SB Nation. However, it was made by one of the members of the Welcome to Loud City community, so there is a large chance the above post is extremely ballin'!

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