FanPost

NBA Draft 2021: The best 3&D wings

Wings get punished in most metrics because according to the common stats their impact is less than that of bigs and passing guards. I believe this is both right and wrong.

I always planned to separate the 700 player stats for modelling specific roles I separated them into 3 groups: Guards, Wings and Bigs. I also need to screen for length, strength and athleticism but that will take a lot of time.

I read an interesting breakdown on what benchmarks an NBA shooter should meet.

https://www.reddit.com/r/NBA_Draft/comments/opn79i/oc_evaluating_the_shooters_in_this_draft_quentin/

Key takeaways are these NBA role-players were stars on their college teams, rather than 3&D specialists. Also, 20% of those NBA role-players are not American.

Armed with this new knowledge I decided to identify this role first. I started afresh, still filtering for age, experience, SOS, pace etc. but I focussed on elevating those that met the shooting benchmarks and also performed well in the requisite defensive areas.

The results were rather surprising but also not as they elevated a lot of highly touted players who didn't do at all well under PJP48 such as the G-League guys Kuminga and Green plus Cade, Bouknight, Moody, Murphy etc.. It also confirmed my assessment of Grimes, Bones. Dosunmu, Wagner, Springer, Wieskamp, Jaqouri, Simms and Chris Smith who I already like.

A closer look may be warranted at Wiggins, Duke, Schakel, Begarin Belbiv Devoe etc.

I'm still leery of the Ignite birghtsparks. Dashien Nix and Kuminga's results are constantly inexplicable to me. Green I'm concerned about his size and Todd I don't get at all.

I've figured out their pace - which hurts them even more - but the SOS has to be really high to bring them up to where everyone thinks they are...We're talking top European levels. Maybe their results are skewed by the small sample size of only 15 games?

So I added the two results (3D and PJP48) together and averaged them. The results are skewed slightly towards 3D on purpose.

If I were picking, I'd take the safer option of someone who scored well enough in both (the overall rank at the end)

#-POS-3Dpts-Firstname--PJP48 pts&rank-Surname--combo pts&rank

1 SF 29.2 Franz 22.9 15 Wagner 26.1 2
2 SG 29.0 Quentin 16.6 59 Grimes 22.8 5
3 SF 27.5 Jonathan 13.8 90 Kuminga* 20.7 17
4 SG 27.0 Josh 28.4 2 Giddey* 27.7 1
5 SF 26.8 Jalen 23.7 13 Johnson 25.3 3
6 SG 26.7 Nas'Shon 13.5 93 Hyland 20.1 23
7 SF 26.7 Justin 21.9 14 Champagnie 24.3 4
8 SG 25.8 Cade 16.7 56 Cunningham 21.2 12
9 SG 25.5 Cam 11.2 111 Thomas 18.4 38
10 SG 25.4 Jalen 16.2 71 Green* 20.8 14
11 SG 25.3 Moses 16.1 73 Moody 20.7 15
12 SG 25.0 Aaron 17.6 44 Wiggins 21.3 11
13 SF 24.9 Sam 17.6 45 Hauser 21.2 13
14 SG 24.9 Jaden 19.7 33 Springer 22.3 8
15 SG 24.9 Corey 16.1 72 Kispert 20.5 19
16 SG 24.8 Juhann 16.3 67 Begarin* 20.5 18
17 SG 24.6 James 13.7 92 Bouknight 19.1 36
18 SF 24.6 Ron 15.4 79 Harper Jr. 20.0 27
19 SG 24.3 Matt 15.7 76 Mitchell 20.0 25
20 SG 24.2 Ayo 20.4 26 Dosunmu 22.3 7
21 SF 24.0 AJ 10.7 119 Lawson 17.4 45
22 SG 23.8 Jordan 14.1 87 Schakel 18.9 37
23 SG 23.7 Gabriele 11.9 105 Procida* 17.8 41
24 SF 23.7 Ethan 16.2 69 Thompson 20.0 26
25 SF 23.7 Chris 16.9 51 Smith 20.3 21
26 SF 23.7 Duane 12.5 102 Washington 18.1 40
27 SF 23.6 Kessler 16.5 62 Edwards 20.0 24
28 SG 23.5 Brandon 16.3 66 Rachal 19.9 29
29 SF 23.4 Joe 17.2 48 Wieskamp 20.3 20
30 SG 23.4 JaQuori 21.1 22 McLaughlin 22.2 9
31 SF 23.3 Trey 15.4 78 Murphy III 19.3 34
32 SG 22.8 Michael 18.6 84 Devoe 20.7 16
33 SG 22.7 Mac 11.1 115 McClung 16.9 46
34 SF 22.5 Isaiah 16.9 53 Livers 19.7 30
35 SF 22.5 Aamir 20.9 35 Simms 21.7 10
36 SG 22.4 Josh 12.7 101 Christopher 17.5 43
37 SG 22.3 David 16.3 68 Duke 19.3 35
38 SF 22.2 Scottie 22.6 17 Barnes 22.4 6
39 SF 21.9 Aaron 17.0 49 Henry 19.4 33
40 SG 21.5 BJ 11.1 116 Boston 16.3 52
41 SG 21.4 Chris 15.3 80 Duarte 18.3 39
42 SF 21.3 Trendon 17.6 43 Watford 19.5 32
43 SF 21.1 Eugene 12.7 100 Omoruyi 16.9 48
44 SF 20.9 Herb 18.4 39 Jones 19.6 31
45 SG 20.5 MaCio 11.8 107 Teague 16.1 53
46 SF 20.5 Dalano 19.4 34 Banton 19.9 28
47 SG 20.4 Joel 20.2 27 Ayayi 20.3 22
48 SG 20.2 AJ 13.4 94 Walker 16.8 50
49 SF 20.1 Javion 15.4 77 Hamlet 17.8 42
50 SG 19.8 Joshua 12.2 104 Primo 16.0 55
51 SG 19.8 Dru 14.0 89 Smith 16.9 47
52 SG 19.7 Malcolm 11.2 113 Cazalon* 15.4 57
53 SG 19.3 RJ 12.9 99 Nembhard 16.1 54
54 SG 19.3 Keon 13.8 91 Johnson 16.5 51
55 SG 18.8 John 11.2 112 Petty 15.0 58
56 SG 18.7 Derrrick 8.7 125 Alston 13.7 65
57 SG 18.5 David 13.1 97 Johnson 15.8 56
58 SF 18.4 Ziaire 10.3 122 Williams 14.3 62
59 SG 18.3 Marcus 16.5 63 Garrett 17.4 44
60 SG 18.2 Mojave 9.8 124 King* 14.0 63
61 SG 18.0 Denzel 7.2 129 Mahoney 12.6 69
62 SG 17.7 Javonte 12.3 103 Smart 15.0 59
63 SG 17.6 Chaundee 10.3 121 Brown 13.9 64
64 SF 17.5 Feron 16.2 70 Hunt 16.9 49
65 SG 17.5 Jamorko 11.6 110 Pickett 14.5 61
66 SF 15.7 Scottie 10.6 120 Lewis 13.2 68
67 SF 15.6 Mitchell 11.1 118 Ballock 13.3 67
68 SG 15.4 MJ 8.1 126 Walker 11.8 70
69 SG 13.6 Bryce 13.3 96 Wills 13.4 66
70 SF 12.8 Romeo 7.2 130 Weems 10.0 71
71 SF 12.7 Mark 16.7 58 Vital 14.7 60
72 SG 12.5 Terrence 6.0 132 Clarke 9.2 72

This post does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of Welcome to Loud City or SB Nation. However, it was made by one of the members of the Welcome to Loud City community, so there is a large chance the above post is extremely ballin'!