The Thunder are sitting atop the West with a record of 27-7. We all had high hopes for the team heading into this season, and at least from my perspective those mid-season expectations have been exceeded. Going into this shortened season, I had a prediction of 46-20, or about 24-10 by the All-Star break. Let's see how the predictions stood up (and yes I'm fully aware that predicting wins for a loaded team is like shooting fish in a barrel).
Game | Date | Win/Loss Prediction | Actual Result |
vs Magic | 12/25 | W | W 97-89 |
@ Timberwolves | 12/26 | W | W 104-100 |
@ Grizzles | 12/28 | L | W 98-95 |
vs Mavericks | 12/29 | W | W 104-102 |
vs Suns | 12/31 | W | W 107-97 |
@ Mavericks | 1/2 | L | L 100-87 |
vs Trail Blazers | 1/3 | W | L 103-93 |
vs Rockets | 1/6 | W | W 109-94 |
@ Rockets | 1/7 | L | W 98-95 |
vs Spurs | 1/8 | L | W 108-96 |
@ Grizzlies | 1/10 | W | W 100-95 |
@ Hornets | 1/11 | W | W 95-85 |
vs Knicks | 1/14 | W | W 104-92 |
@ Celtics | 1/16 | L | W 97-88 |
@ Wizards | 1/18 | W | L 105-102 |
@ Nets | 1/21 | W | W 84-74 |
vs Pistons | 1/23 | W | W 99-79 |
vs Hornets | 1/25 | W | W 101-91 |
@ Warriors | 1/27 | W | W 120-109 |
@ Clippers | 1/30 | L | L 112-100 |
@ Mavericks | 2/1 | L | W 95-86 |
vs Grizzlies | 2/3 | W | W 101-94 |
@ Spurs | 2/4 | L | L 107-96 |
@ Trail Blazers | 2/6 | W | W 111-107 |
@ Warriors | 2/7 | W | W 119-116 |
@ Kings | 2/9 | W | L 106-101 |
@ Jazz | 2/10 | L | W 101-87 |
vs Jazz | 2/14 | W | W 111-85 |
@ Rockets | 2/15 | L | L 96-95 |
vs Warriors | 2/17 | W | W 110-87 |
vs Nuggets | 2/19 | W | W 124-118 |
vs Hornets | 2/20 | W | W 101-93 |
vs Celtics | 2/22 | W | W 119-104 |
vs Lakers | 2/23 | W | W 100-85 |
So to size things up:
- I gave the Thunder 3 more losses than they actually accumulated
- I missed on 9 out of 34 possible outcomes, which is about a 74% rate of accuracy. Not too shabby, but then again, fish in a barrel.
- The only two truly surprising outcomes would have to be the Wizards loss on1/18 and the Kings loss on 2/9. In retrospect though, we probably shouldn't even feel bad about the Kings loss because that was a very special night for them and they were playing for something much more significant than just a game.
- Boy, that Wizards loss stings.
- 32 games to go.
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