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2011-2012 NBA Season Predictions: How Are We Doing?

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The Thunder are sitting atop the West with a record of 27-7. We all had high hopes for the team heading into this season, and at least from my perspective those mid-season expectations have been exceeded. Going into this shortened season, I had a prediction of 46-20, or about 24-10 by the All-Star break. Let's see how the predictions stood up (and yes I'm fully aware that predicting wins for a loaded team is like shooting fish in a barrel).

Game Date Win/Loss Prediction Actual Result
vs Magic 12/25 W W 97-89
@ Timberwolves 12/26 W W 104-100
@ Grizzles 12/28 L W 98-95
vs Mavericks 12/29 W W 104-102
vs Suns 12/31 W W 107-97
@ Mavericks 1/2 L L 100-87
vs Trail Blazers 1/3 W L 103-93
vs Rockets 1/6 W W 109-94
@ Rockets 1/7 L W 98-95
vs Spurs 1/8 L W 108-96
@ Grizzlies 1/10 W W 100-95
@ Hornets 1/11 W W 95-85
vs Knicks 1/14 W W 104-92
@ Celtics 1/16 L W 97-88
@ Wizards 1/18 W L 105-102
@ Nets 1/21 W W 84-74
vs Pistons 1/23 W W 99-79
vs Hornets 1/25 W W 101-91
@ Warriors 1/27 W W 120-109
@ Clippers 1/30 L L 112-100
@ Mavericks 2/1 L W 95-86
vs Grizzlies 2/3 W W 101-94
@ Spurs 2/4 L L 107-96
@ Trail Blazers 2/6 W W 111-107
@ Warriors 2/7 W W 119-116
@ Kings 2/9 W L 106-101
@ Jazz 2/10 L W 101-87
vs Jazz 2/14 W W 111-85
@ Rockets 2/15 L L 96-95
vs Warriors 2/17 W W 110-87
vs Nuggets 2/19 W W 124-118
vs Hornets 2/20 W W 101-93
vs Celtics 2/22 W W 119-104
vs Lakers 2/23 W W 100-85



So to size things up:

  • I gave the Thunder 3 more losses than they actually accumulated
  • I missed on 9 out of 34 possible outcomes, which is about a 74% rate of accuracy. Not too shabby, but then again, fish in a barrel.
  • The only two truly surprising outcomes would have to be the Wizards loss on1/18 and the Kings loss on 2/9. In retrospect though, we probably shouldn't even feel bad about the Kings loss because that was a very special night for them and they were playing for something much more significant than just a game.
  • Boy, that Wizards loss stings.
  • 32 games to go.

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