Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets: 2010-2011 Game 77 Preview; Defending the Division Crown
This also counts as an open thread, so feel free to post your thoughts during the game here.
Records: The Oklahoma City Thunder (50-26) vs. The Denver Nuggets (47-29)
Time: 8:00 PM Central Standard Time
Place: The Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado
TV: Fox Sports Net Oklahoma, Altitude Sports
Radio: WWLS The Sports Animal (98.1), KRWZ 950 AM
Enemy Blog(s): Denver Stiffs, The Nugg Doctor, Roundball Mining Company
Previous Meeting(s): Dec. 25th, Jan. 19th (Season Series Tied at 1-1)
After losing the last two games to the Los Angeles Clippers and Portland Trail Blazers, the Thunder have made their own bed and must now lie in it. With six games left in the season, they must take the looming threat of the Nuggets seriously. The Nugs are only three games back of the Thunder, and have two matchups against them. So if the Nuggets were able to run the table and the Thunder were to lose to the Lakers on the road, the Thunder will have lost home court advantage in the first round just like that.
Fortunately, the Thunder can put an end to that run here and now. If they win tonight's game against the Nuggets on the road, the Thunder will all but secure the Northwest Division and home court advantage. But, if they lose tonight, the Thunder will find themselves in the midst of a three game losing streak and under intense public pressure. In other words, most basketball diehards know that this game is important, but if we lose this game, word will get out to the fairweather and bandwagon fans, increasing public pressure and giving the Nuggets hope.
Below: When We Last Saw Each Other, Advantages and Disadvantages, Injuries, Depth, Prediction!
It's been a while since the Thunder and Nuggets have seen each other. Way back on January 19th, the Nuggets still had Carmelo Anthony, the Thunder still had Jeff Green, and there was still snow outside! The Nuggets were a team in transition, and the Thunder were a team trying to find an identity. But, this game should remain largely a similar matchup. Kevin Durant will still have a scoring battle, except this time it will be with Danilo Gallinari. The Nuggets will still look to defeat the Thunder in the paint with Nene and K-Mart, but the Thunder will try to win defensively rather than shooting circles around them. The game will still be a high-scoring affair, but there will be more threes taken on both sides. In essence, both teams have evolved into more threatening beasts.
Aaron Affalo and Chris Andersen are game time decisions for tonight, but Timofey Mozgov and Wilson Chandler are more than suitable replacements, so it won't be a huge deal. But if there's one thing the Nuggets have, it's depth. And while the Thunder aren't exactly thin, I don't think anyone would be thrilled to see Cole Aldrich or Royal Ivey get meaningful minutes tonight. Thus, it's really a contest between talent and depth. The Nuggets will have advantages during the lulls in the second and third quarters, but the Thunder will have a slight advantage when their starters are fresh. Despite that, this game will come down to the final minutes. These are two very similar and strong teams, and it's hard to tell what will put either team on top. Teamwork? Talent? A bad technical? The home crowd? An injury? It's impossible to know, but my gut feeling has the Nuggets winning this game. They just beat the Lakers on the road, and they're playing like an unstoppable team with few holes, while the Thunder are playing like an emotional roller-coaster that forgets how to play offense. The pieces will start to come back together tonight, but we're just not back to an elite level yet.
Prediction: Denver 112, Oklahoma City 110
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Oklahoma City Arena?
it should be called THE THUNDERDOME!
What are the odds of avoiding some sort of player brawl/ejection/flagrant 2 type of incident...
… with these teams playing each other 9 times over the next few weeks? These teams will be sick of each other.
and the NuggDoctor blog hasn’t been updated since last fall.
Maya: "What are your first impressions of Denver?"
Mozgov: "I must break you..."
Yeah, I should probably update my blogs from now on....
The list I made is about two years old.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
About as good as a first quarter as you can ask for.
Forcing Turnovers, keeping the Ngugets out of the paint, and, most of all, getting great ball movement on offense with the only mistakes coming from Ibaka. Love it!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Comeon, Perkins!
Three second violation….eh.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
I've seen good 1st quarters before
Let’s see if OKC can maintain the intensity
www.welcometoloudcity.com
Noooo! Mosgov!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
If he's out for the game....
The Nuggets will have to either go small or go with ely or koufos. yuck.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Guh
It kills me when teams blow 3 on 1 fast breaks. terrible spacing there, wasting the steal.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
Strong 1st
Here is at least one thing we’ve learned in these last 4 games – good defense always gives you a chance. Thunder were terrible in 2nd halves of last two, but b/c of their defense they still had a shot in the end.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
Agreed 100%
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Perkins & Ibaka...
with a good start on the boards.
yep
And Nene – 0-4. Thunder can live with Kenyon Martin as the lone inside presence shooting 15 footers.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
Kinda hoping we can carry this energy into a 15 point lead by the break....
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
though you could argue
it might be better if they don’t. remember, it was the early lead in the last 2 games that probably caused the Thunder to get complacent.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
Yes, but it was usually in single digits by the break.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Assists
Maybe somebody should challenge Westbrook to push for 10+ assists next year.
remember
not all assists are created equal. it’s also about how you get those assists. in the alternative, great assist men cause their teammates to get more assists too.
KD called them “hockey assists” earlier this season, and that’s about as perfect a definition as any.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
sure
Close assist are more valuable than jumper assists and high assists per game for a player means less if your team is low of team assists as the Thunder still are.
that's a great point
high personal assists on low overall assist team means that 1 guy is dominating the ball too much.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
8 Turnovers in the half?
Wow….two each for Perkins, Ibaka, and Harden.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
bad play by Russ
1st time this half he looked like the evil Westbrook. tried to answer Lawson’s drive and drove on 3 guys, then picked up the foul.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
And our lead slowly melts away....
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Free throws
6 FTAs so far, none for KD.
That is consistent with Denver’s defensive style this season.
Season low is 14 for team, 1 for KD.
We won't hit that low....
The fouls will start racking up when our offense inevitably stagnates in the third.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
KD Saving us right now
Pure talent.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Double Tech on Perkins and Nene already
I think we’ll need bodyguards on the floor by the time this series is done.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
See that?
That’s what Russ is going to do if the Thunder can’t figure out a way to stop Lawson’s drives. He’s going to keep doing that 3 on 1 drive stuff and it’s going to keep killing the team.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
That foul was just dumb
Especially if our final play was just a Westbrook coast-to-coast. I sure am glad we have a break…
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
unlikely yes
just something I noticed to watch from here on the small chance one low is hit or approached closely
Denver 3 pt attempts
Well below season average so far. A key to beating them.
OKC got a little 3-point happy early in 2nd
But chilled it out as the quarter went along. I think if they end up taking more than 20 in this game, they will lose.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
Not a good end to the half
Outscored 7-0 in last minute.
But even so, Thunder just held the league’s #1 offensive team to 47 first half points. That’s pretty darn good. They just need better offensive rotations in 2nd.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
Westbrook is really hurting them again
I honestly don’t know what they can do except pull him when he gets in this mode
www.welcometoloudcity.com
Semi-Open three? FIRE!
I am going to the basket no matter what anyone says!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Airball....
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Denver would be ahead if they hit their FTs....
Almost want to start hacking them….
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Lots of comments tonight.
Must be a big game. Or just a conversation between Zorgon and Dogburt.
Hay, I'm trying!
It’s not like you’re helping. :-P
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
just got here
and all I have is gamecast. not a lot to contribute.
Ah. Well, we're working on it.
By playoff time, we may even have three or four-way conversations! LOL
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
It's a nice blog
I’m just getting more into the Thunder. It’s just a very stark contrast to arrowhead pride.
In what way?
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Working on a long-range catapult....
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
SIT DOWN WESTBROOK
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
I can't believe this
3 on 2 break, and Westbrook still screws it up with the charge. He has completely lost his sense of what his job is.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
Uhm....
At least the Nuggets still can’t make their free throws….
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
3rd quarter backup PG?
I noticed Maynor has been shooting very poorly (below 40% FG%) in every quarter this season but the 2nd. Would you give Robinson or Ivey a shot tonight?
I'd rather have Maynor, even at that %
He is not as athletic as Westbook so has limited upside, but at least he doesn’t make the mistakes that Westbrook has been making for the past 5 games.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
No
Robinson isn’t really a PG, and functions mainly as a scorer in the same vein as Westbrook.
Ivey isn’t really a PG, and is mainly an emergency defensive specialist to put in at SG.
Honestly, I’d rather have Harden as PG than those two. But, that’s just my opinion.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
The Thunder are so lucky to be ahead right now....
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Yeah. It all comes down to hustle and a bit of luck.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
It may not feel like it
but after the last 2 games, that 3rd was 100% WIN for me. Thunder did well to hang in there and weather the storm.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
I'd feel better about it if the only reason we were up wasn't missed FT by Denver.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Haven't closed any quarter out well, and we should honestly be down right now...
Things are not looking good for the fourth at all.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Hopefully.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
at least I don't have the same feeling of doom as in the last 2
Going into those last 2 fourth quarters, I had little reason to believe the Thunder would hold on. This time though, they’re not playing so passive.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
It pains me...
PAINS me to say it, but Maynor came in for Westbrook when they were down 63-60, and they closed out the quarter on a 9-4 run.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
Foul trouble is hurting us....
Nuggets will pound it inside for the rest of the game.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Maynor saves the possession
Westbrook would have senselessly lost the ball. Or made an awesome play. But glad we’re playing it safe for the time being.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
MAYNOR!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Incredibly frustrating
And sad, isn’t it? That a 4 time player of the week has become a liability. I don’t know what Brooks can do with Westbrook at this point.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
by J.A. Sherman on Apr 5, 2011 10:03 PM CDT up reply actions
they let him
run freer this season and really pretty free his whole career
a strategy with payoff and consequences
Maynor has been solid all year of course
But you know what it is now? The Nuggets love to overplay on defense, and Maynor just doesn’t attack hard enough to allow the Nuggets to exploit him. He’s just nice and easy, and it neutralizes the Nuggets’ defensive athleticism.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
DURANT SLAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAMMMMMMMMMMMMM
AND SCENE!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
i think the thunder need to figure out a rotation where KD gets to play a significant amount of minutes with MAynor
i tihnk he gets into a better rhythm with Maynor out there
by John Park Williams on Apr 5, 2011 10:11 PM CDT reply actions
Watching Durant drive the ball
warms the very cockles of my heart. maybe even below the cockles. maybe even the colon. I’m not sure.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
Just when I think Maynor is starting to slip....
He responds with a sexy floater!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
it's become apparent that the Nugget guards cannot play defense
But Westbrook was not able to capitalize on it, while Maynor is. He’s reading the court extremely well.
Now they just need about another 10 good possessions.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
by J.A. Sherman on Apr 5, 2011 10:15 PM CDT up reply actions
i like KD playing the 4 against the nuggets
KMart is so limited offensively that it doesn’t hurt them, and it makes KMart move around a lot on defense with those surgically repaired knees
by John Park Williams on Apr 5, 2011 10:14 PM CDT reply actions
Uh-oh....Westbrook is in.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Durant seems to have realized
that he can drive on the Nuggets. As long as he maintains that perspective, he’ll keep getting to the line.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
by J.A. Sherman on Apr 5, 2011 10:18 PM CDT up reply actions
I know the Nuggets haven't shot well from FT line
but neither have the Thunder. Just can’t miss these kinds of gimmes.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
Ghosts at the rim!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Finally, Westbrook comes through and nearly seals the game!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Brian Davis is reeling....
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Nuggets on life support, but still alive....
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Denver goes coast to coast for a layup
in about 4 seconds. some token resistance would be nice.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
and once more.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
by J.A. Sherman on Apr 5, 2011 10:33 PM CDT up reply actions
More technicals....
This will be so, so ugly during the playoffs.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
FINALLY, we seal this game!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Thanks for coming, KCScuba, StatRaven, and JohnParkWilliams!
Recap to be made after the Warriors game.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
no problemo
thanks for giving me a team to root for in the playoffs
by John Park Williams on Apr 5, 2011 10:47 PM CDT up reply actions
My first impression on the win -
Thunder interior defense controlled Nene and Martin. Without those guys getting lots of putbacks, offensive rebounds, and easy scores, everything became guard-oriented for the Nuggets. As a result, Thunder controlled the boards, winning that battle by 9.
Durant – 9
Ibaka – 11
Perkins – 14
that’s the difference right there.
www.welcometoloudcity.com
2nd half Denver fouls / Thunder FTAs
was the big shift
ok
one of the big shifts
nice chattin with y’all

































