2011-2012 Minute distribution and production levels
Here is how I see the minutes being divided up this year. Scott Brooks is a conservative coach that does not like to mess up his rotation. This can be a weakness against tougher opponents/playoffs because he would rather stick to what has been working then try something new. That's how he got out-coached by Rick Carlisle last year in the Western Conference finals as he manipulated our lineups to nuetralize Thabo's defense and make him a liability on offense. That being said, I still think Thabo will continue to start but Harden will see way more minutes and will be on the floor in crunch time.
Westbrook:
34 minutes
Westbrook became a much better finisher last year. He ranked 6th in the league with points inside 3 feet. Although his pull-up jumper was better there was still much more room for improvement. I no longer cringe when he takes 3 pointers and wow does that boy know how to get to the free throw line.
This year I see improvements across the board for Westbrook including fg%, rebounds, assists/to ratio, and steals. This is the year westbrook puts up better stats then D-Rose and starts on the all-star team.
Durant:
38 minutes
The biggest area Durant will improve on here is his post-up skills and 3 point percentage. I see somewhere around 30 points with more rebounds and more assists. People make such a big deal about him not being able to use the rip move, 1st of all, he did not use it all that much last year and although it is not automatically a shooting foul it can still be effective. Anybody notice his one-foot fall-away he's been working on. This guy will be unstoppable. MVP.
Thabo Sefelosha:
18 minutes
You gotta love Thabo and what he brings to this team. I've heard a lot about him working on his offensive game but I do not buy it too much. Thabo will never be a lights out shooter but will be most effective when he is slashing to the basket. He can finish pretty good for a guy with relatively little hops.
Ibaka
29 minutes
This guy is a stud. Expect increase across the board. Expect no less then 10/9/3 blocks per game. He will be in the running for defensive player of the year.
Perkins:
26 minutes
I have a love hate relationship with Perkins. He has looked great in the pre-season, lighter on his feet, better endurance, and even threw down a reverse slam which is good to see considering he was one of the leaders of the league in dunks while in Boston. People are quick to talk crap about him forgetting that the Thunder had a stellar record down the stretch last year with Perkins. Last year I will admit he did drive me crazy at times. I hated the careless fouls, and cringed every time he put the ball on the floor, took a jumpshot, shot a free-throw, or tried to pass. I see a ton of improvement for Perkins this year: I am thinking 8/8/1.5 blocks
Harden
30 minutes
What is not to love about this guy. He's a great playmaker/shooter and an absolute pest on defense. He has the strength and skill to guard people bigger then him and is extremely aggressive on offense and can get to the free throw line. Harden is the master of kicking his legs out and letting people run into him so with the new rule in place he will have to get even more crafty. I am thinking 18/4/4 with huge increases in 3pt%. Harden will win 6th man of the year.
Maynor
14 minutes
What you see is what you get with Maynor. I see his stats staying pretty flat although I would be shocked if his fg% did not spike up at least a little bit.
Collison
20 minutes
Collison is a beast. Every time he comes in the game he makes an instant impact. Whether its a charge taken or a huge putback he knows his role and plays it very well. His defense in the playoffs last year was incredible. I see his stats staying flat.
Cook
10 minutes
I like Cook, great shooter, spreads the floor, and is a better re-bounder than people give him credit for.
11 minutes
Aldrich
8 minutes
Jackson/Hayward
4 minutes
GO THUNDER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
This post does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of Welcome to Loud City or SB Nation. However, it was made by one of the members of the Welcome to Loud City community, so there is a large chance the above post is extremely ballin'!
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Solid breakdown.
Personally I think Cook will get a little more. It’s hard to see where those minutes will come from, but I could see them playing small for a bit without Collison, him eating into Sefolosha’s dwindling minutes, or Durant needing some rest due to the brutal scheduling this year.
Also, I don’t think Brooks will split time between Mohammed and Aldrich. It will be an all in or all out type of thing. Like when Etan Thomas got injured in Ibaka’s rookie year. Ibaka immediately got all of his minutes, and Thomas was forever tied to the bench. I could see a similar situation unfolding with those two, should Aldrich be ready.
I could see Jackson, Hayward, or even Ivey getting minor minutes as the 10th or 11th man. It’s something I’d like to see, just to test those guys out.
Otherwise, I pretty much agree with what was said here. Solid article!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manager of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
I agree
It will take an injury to get Aldrich on the floor which is a shame considering that the thunder gave up eric bledsoe to get him. He better step it up!! Sam Presti has made some brilliant moves and why not take a risk on Mullens and Aldrich when you already have some quality bigs…..but still I am still shaking my head, wondering what those doctors saw in Tyson Chanders toes. I hope Cook gets more minutes though, I like his game. Go Thunder, 1-0, Harden looks good.
by TheWhiteObama2 on Dec 26, 2011 2:38 AM CST up reply actions
Perkins
Perkins is a turnover waiting to happen. He refuses to crash the boards (hence only about 4 rebounds per game when you subtract rebounds on free throws) and takes no role in fast breaks on offense or defense. Time to move on from the Perkins-as-center era.

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