Game 32 Preview: Oklahoma City at Milwaukee
This also counts as an open thread, so feel free to post your thoughts during the game here.
Time: 7:30 PM Central Standard Time
Place: The Bradley Center, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
TV: Fox Sports Oklahoma, Fox Sports Wisconsin
Radio: WWLS The Sports Animal (98.1)
Enemy Blog(s): BrewHoop, Bucks Diary, The Bob Boozer Jinx, Bucksketball
Backstory: The Thunder are having their most successful run of the season, and it doesn't look to stop any time soon. After some heroism from unlikely places (Nick Collison) and some expected wins against lesser teams, the Thunder are 4 games above .500, and have won their fifth in a row. It makes for a very different matchup than when we saw the Bucks last.
In short, the Bucks have fallen back to their place: the doldrums of the Eastern Conference. They were hyped up by the excellent play of rookie Brandon Jennings and the virtue of a weak schedule. But lately, they've been shut down by even the lesser teams, such as Charlotte, Washington, and Sacramento, while also getting shut out by the big boys, like Orlando and San Antonio. The reason hasn't been medical, as only Gadzuric and Alexander have been out of any extended period of time. Rather, they've just been another victim of early-season hype. Brandon Jennings isn't enough to fix a deeply flawed team. They appear strong on paper, but their team is devoid of defense, and all of their offensively-minded players force themselves into bad shots. It's a classic example of a team that has a roster filled with talent from the top to the bottom of the bench, but is just too one-dimensional to be practical. If I was the GM of Milwaukee, I'd be on the trade hotline, because many of Milwaukee's players have value, and those that don't can play well with the right teammates.
Below: Matchups, Prediction
Matchups:
Center: Nenad Krstic vs. Andrew Bogut
The last time these two teams met, Andrew Bogut was out of commission, but Nenad Krstic still had trouble getting going. Even though Bogut is better than Gadzuric, I'd say that Krstic will find a way to make this game work offensively for him. Bogut will be willing to go toe to toe with Krstic in the mid-range area, but I think Krstic will find ways to sneak around him in the post, via back door plays and that sort of thing. Bogut will have a typically good scoring night.
Power Forward: Jeff Green vs. Ersan Ilyasova
It was a classic battle between these two last time, as they both scored well from inside the arc, both clanked a lot of threes, and both contributed a good amount of rebounds. This time, though, I'd expect Ilyasova to have the upper hand, because he's usually the better 3 point shooter. Green is a better defender, but I don't think it will matter a whole lot on the perimeter.
Small Forward: Kevin Durant vs. Carlos Delfino
Last time Durant had a hell of a game against Delfino, and I wouldn't expect much to change tonight. Delfino is a serviceable defender, but he has nothing on Druants rebounding or distribution skills.
Shooting Guard: Thabo Sefolosha vs. Michael Redd
This isn't the Michael Redd of old, as a lot of his scoring duties have been passed off to Brandon Jennings. Nevertheless, he's a legitimate threat, so Thabo will have to keep his guard up. I predict that both players have pretty unremarkable games, mainly due to Thabo's defense. Thabo will clank a few threes.
Point Guard: Russell Westbrook vs. Brandon Jennings
Last time, Russell Westbrook beat Brandon Jennings in every category except steals. I don't expect that trend to continue. Brandon Jennings is a bit more experienced and accustomed to play in the NBA now, and I think he'll be a bit more selective with his shots this time, while also having the option of passing it to Bogut down low. Jennings will win by a bit, but it won't be enough to propel his team to victory.
Battle of the Benches:
Having no Dan Gadzuric certainly hurts the Bucks, as they have to rely on 37 year old Kenny Thomas for backup center duties. Otherwise, the Bucks have a rather powerful bench, with backups just about as good as the starters before them. I'd say they edge out our bench by a slight margin, but don't discount the fact that James Harden will probably be a huge factor.
Coaching and Intangibles:
The Thunder are on a huge win streak, and the Bucks are on a huge loss streak. Need I say more? The bucks are at home and have some great fans, but I don't think it's enough to propel them to victory.
Bottom Line:
The Bucks haven't been able to beat anybody lately, and I don't think it's going to start with the Thunder. We destroyed them by a significant margin last time, and even though they have Andrew Bogut, this is still a very winnable game.
Prediction: Oklahoma City 109, Milwaukee 99
How do you think the game will go? Vote in the Poll!
And, again, feel free to drop any comments you might have during, before, or after the game below. I might be here during the game to drop my thoughts as well. Go Thunder!
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As some of you know, I went to Wisconsin earlier this year.
The two things that stick out for me: Ice fishing and excellent root beer. Don’t go ice fishing though. It’s better when watched on television.
In any case, the late recaps are coming, as I just finished watching the New Jersey and Washington games. I didn’t record the Utah one, but seeing as it’s impossible to find even legal ways to watch old NBA games, I’ll just have to guesswork that one from the box score. Don’t worry, everything will be caught up soon.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Then you know nothing about the call on Millsap that secured our win?
Your friendly neighborhood Loud City resident.
Nope, I don't.
I’ll get around to some highlights though….hopefully they’ll tell the story.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Westbrook
Just took a hard spill. I felt it here in Nebraska.
Love the end of the Quarter
We’ll catch up to this team eventually. Also, love the airhorns.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Durant
Blocked four shots in the first quarter. Can’t complain about that. The three turnovers on the other hand…
Back in the lead!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Halftime
OKC goes in with the lead 49-48 on the shoulders of Kevin Durant.
You think Durant can get 40?
He’s really dominating that mismatch he has at SF (as Grant Long has stated 1,000 times).
On the other hand, we’re having virtually no scoring from our guards. You’d think Westbrook could have some success scoring inside or something.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
He might have to.
Like you said our playmakers need to step it up a bit. Harden has been getting some pretty good 3 point looks though and they’ll start to fall eventually. I’m not totally sure but I think Westbrook has had quiet first halfs in a lot of the recent games but tends to get his points later in the game.
Yeah, I agree.
There’s no way our guards will be shut out in a high-scoring game like this one.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
So I suppose every quarter will proceed as so....
Bucks jump out to a lead.
The game stablizes.
The Thunder close the quarter strong.
Rinse, lather, repeat.
Also, I really like Boguts cheering crowd section, Squad 6. They remind me of Japanese Baseball chanters and crazed soccer fans rolled together into one. I only wish every team had a section like that.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Krstic Coming alive
And it looks like we might actually start to pull away!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Flopping
Looks like Bogut is doing a good job teaching the rest of the Bucks how to be prime floppers.
Or maybe not.
They aren’t really drawing many calls off of it.
I wouldn't be so sure yet
It’s still tied, and the bucks are refusing to let us have a run.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Whoh, I just saw Kelvin Sampson!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
This is getting far too close.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
0.2 difference
Get it to Durant for the last shot and hopefully it won’t go into OT.
Interesting
Didn’t really think there was enough time on the clock to have Durant inbound it.
Horrible Playcalling
They gave it to KD, who had scored 2 points in the 4th. Then, he gets himself trapped near the halfcourt line. I saw that play coming from a mile away, and so did the Bucks. Why did it have to be a 3, even? Sheesh. There’s absolutely no reason this game should be going to OT.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
I don't know
I think giving the ball to the Durant for the shot was the right move, he’s only made 2 points in the fourth but he’s also the only one that has been able to put the ball down with any consistency.
I question him inbounding the ball. I think with 4 seconds on the clock someone else inbounds it and gets it to him before they have a chance to double team him.
As far as the half court deal. Yeah, KD can’t handle the ball well enough to take on a double team that far back and have any decent outcome.
In all honesty
I would rather have had Westbrook charge down the lane. The Bucks are afraid to foul, and afraid to let him score. It also is unexpected, as most think KD would get the opportunity.
I think a prime rule in basketball is to feed the hot hand, rather than feeding the best guy all of the time. Even though there was no real “hot hand” at the time, having KD brick another three is not the answer to the end of the game woes.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Seven turnovers for KD.
Not much to say about that.
Russell Westbrook with the backdoor play!
Back in front!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Ridnour wants the SuperSonics back....
He HATES us!
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Why is Krstic in right now?
His defense is hopeless. Put Ibaka in!
if westbrook could make 35% of his shots.
he’d be a hell of a ball player. he must be shooting under 30 for the year.
twitter.com/aighttho
http://howmuchyouthink.tumblr.com/
He's shooting 39%, actually.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
yea i figured he can't be worse than chris duhon
so i fact checked myself, he’s not.
twitter.com/aighttho
http://howmuchyouthink.tumblr.com/
ok so i looked it up
just under 40. it seems like he misses a ton of shots though.
twitter.com/aighttho
http://howmuchyouthink.tumblr.com/
He attacks the basket a lot and draws a lot of fouls and it seems like he misses a lot more than he does.
His % has been down lately though but I’ll take it considering how well he’s cut down on turnovers.
you're right
in time, he’ll be efficient. and an absolute nightmare for opposing teams.
twitter.com/aighttho
http://howmuchyouthink.tumblr.com/
Agreed.
And I don’t really think you can fault him for tonight’s performance. He essentially carried the team through the late 4th and in OT. Granted, his earlier game could have used some work, but he’s the reason the game went to OT at all.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
13 assists and 0 turns...
plus one rebound away from a trip dub. I’m so proud of Westbrook.
Your friendly neighborhood Loud City resident.
yea he has been playing pretty fantastic
but his shooting toch, honestly is a hindrance. i haven’t seen much thunder, as a knick fan, in ny, without league pass. but i really love your team.
twitter.com/aighttho
http://howmuchyouthink.tumblr.com/
Ugh, did we seriously just lose to the BUCKS?
Ugh. I haven’t felt this bad since we lost to the Kings.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
I don’t feel to bad about it. Milwaukee has beaten some good teams at home and while they’ve been playing pretty bad lately they still have some talent.
And I guess when we have Krstic defending Bogut with the game on the line we get what we deserve.
Yeah
putting Krstic in was a big mistake.
Still, this was a very winnable game. We just couldn’t get anybody to score on a consistent or efficient basis besides KD, the Centers with their usual garbage points, and Westbrook at the end of the game. Maynor and Harden didn’t really help, and Green was completely off. We deserve the loss, but I still hate to see it.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Still, I loved the over-extended horn.
It was a fitting end to the game.
Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan
Okay, I'm kinda pissed now.
I’m looking at the boxscore…
Krstic played 22 minutes and did not get a single rebound!!!!
Your friendly neighborhood Loud City resident.
Yeah.
He was pretty much worthless tonight with the exception of the baskets right after the half that helped to spark that run.
Collison is getting more minutes lately and the team is benefiting. Serge played 15 minutes and had 9 points, 3 rebounds, and 2 blocked shots to compliment Collison.
I like when Krstic is hitting his jumper, it really helps to open up the paint for the rest of the team but when he isn’t knocking them down we have better options.

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