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Game 32 Preview: Oklahoma City at Milwaukee

This also counts as an open thread, so feel free to post your thoughts during the game here.

Time: 7:30 PM Central Standard Time

Place: The Bradley Center, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

TV: Fox Sports Oklahoma, Fox Sports Wisconsin

Radio: WWLS The Sports Animal (98.1)

Enemy Blog(s): BrewHoop, Bucks Diary, The Bob Boozer Jinx, Bucksketball

Backstory: The Thunder are having their most successful run of the season, and it doesn't look to stop any time soon. After some heroism from unlikely places (Nick Collison) and some expected wins against lesser teams, the Thunder are 4 games above .500, and have won their fifth in a row. It makes for a very different matchup than when we saw the Bucks last.

In short, the Bucks have fallen back to their place: the doldrums of the Eastern Conference. They were hyped up by the excellent play of rookie Brandon Jennings and the virtue of a weak schedule. But lately, they've been shut down by even the lesser teams, such as Charlotte, Washington, and Sacramento, while also getting shut out by the big boys, like Orlando and San Antonio. The reason hasn't been medical, as only Gadzuric and Alexander have been out of any extended period of time. Rather, they've just been another victim of early-season hype. Brandon Jennings isn't enough to fix a deeply flawed team. They appear strong on paper, but their team is devoid of defense, and all of their offensively-minded players force themselves into bad shots. It's a classic example of a team that has a roster filled with talent from the top to the bottom of the bench, but is just too one-dimensional to be practical. If I was the GM of Milwaukee, I'd be on the trade hotline, because many of Milwaukee's players have value, and those that don't can play well with the right teammates.

Below: Matchups, Prediction

Star-divide

Matchups:

Center: Nenad Krstic vs. Andrew Bogut

The last time these two teams met, Andrew Bogut was out of commission, but Nenad Krstic still had trouble getting going. Even though Bogut is better than Gadzuric, I'd say that Krstic will find a way to make this game work offensively for him. Bogut will be willing to go toe to toe with Krstic in the mid-range area, but I think Krstic will find ways to sneak around him in the post, via back door plays and that sort of thing. Bogut will have a typically good scoring night.

Power Forward: Jeff Green vs. Ersan Ilyasova

It was a classic battle between these two last time, as they both scored well from inside the arc, both clanked a lot of threes, and both contributed a good amount of rebounds. This time, though, I'd expect Ilyasova to have the upper hand, because he's usually the better 3 point shooter. Green is a better defender, but I don't think it will matter a whole lot on the perimeter.

Small Forward: Kevin Durant vs. Carlos Delfino

Last time Durant had a hell of a game against Delfino, and I wouldn't expect much to change tonight. Delfino is a serviceable defender, but he has nothing on Druants rebounding or distribution skills.

Shooting Guard: Thabo Sefolosha vs. Michael Redd

This isn't the Michael Redd of old, as a lot of his scoring duties have been passed off to Brandon Jennings. Nevertheless, he's a legitimate threat, so Thabo will have to keep his guard up. I predict that both players have pretty unremarkable games, mainly due to Thabo's defense. Thabo will clank a few threes.

Point Guard: Russell Westbrook vs. Brandon Jennings

Last time, Russell Westbrook beat Brandon Jennings in every category except steals. I don't expect that trend to continue. Brandon Jennings is a bit more experienced and accustomed to play in the NBA now, and I think he'll be a bit more selective with his shots this time, while also having the option of passing it to Bogut down low. Jennings will win by a bit, but it won't be enough to propel his team to victory.

Battle of the Benches:

Having no Dan Gadzuric certainly hurts the Bucks, as they have to rely on 37 year old Kenny Thomas for backup center duties. Otherwise, the Bucks have a rather powerful bench, with backups just about as good as the starters before them. I'd say they edge out our bench by a slight margin, but don't discount the fact that James Harden will probably be a huge factor.

Coaching and Intangibles:

The Thunder are on a huge win streak, and the Bucks are on a huge loss streak. Need I say more? The bucks are at home and have some great fans, but I don't think it's enough to propel them to victory.

Bottom Line:

The Bucks haven't been able to beat anybody lately, and I don't think it's going to start with the Thunder. We destroyed them by a significant margin last time, and even though they have Andrew Bogut, this is still a very winnable game.

Prediction: Oklahoma City 109, Milwaukee 99

How do you think the game will go? Vote in the Poll!

And, again, feel free to drop any comments you might have during, before, or after the game below. I might be here during the game to drop my thoughts as well. Go Thunder!

Poll
Who's going to win tonight?
The Oklahoma City Thunder
14 votes
The Milwaukee Bucks
13 votes

27 votes | Poll has closed

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As some of you know, I went to Wisconsin earlier this year.

The two things that stick out for me: Ice fishing and excellent root beer. Don’t go ice fishing though. It’s better when watched on television.

In any case, the late recaps are coming, as I just finished watching the New Jersey and Washington games. I didn’t record the Utah one, but seeing as it’s impossible to find even legal ways to watch old NBA games, I’ll just have to guesswork that one from the box score. Don’t worry, everything will be caught up soon.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 6:06 PM CST reply actions  

Nope, I don't.

I’ll get around to some highlights though….hopefully they’ll tell the story.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 7:49 PM CST up reply actions  

Westbrook

Just took a hard spill. I felt it here in Nebraska.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 7:48 PM CST reply actions  

Love the end of the Quarter

We’ll catch up to this team eventually. Also, love the airhorns.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 8:05 PM CST reply actions  

The airhorns were very annoying.

Your friendly neighborhood Loud City resident.

by daddydai on Jan 2, 2010 10:14 PM CST up reply actions  

Durant

Blocked four shots in the first quarter. Can’t complain about that. The three turnovers on the other hand…

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 8:07 PM CST reply actions  

Back in the lead!

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 8:08 PM CST reply actions  

Halftime

OKC goes in with the lead 49-48 on the shoulders of Kevin Durant.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 8:36 PM CST reply actions  

Ibaka and Collison were both impressive also. Westbrook with a 5:0 assist turnover ratio.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 8:38 PM CST up reply actions  

You think Durant can get 40?

He’s really dominating that mismatch he has at SF (as Grant Long has stated 1,000 times).

On the other hand, we’re having virtually no scoring from our guards. You’d think Westbrook could have some success scoring inside or something.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 8:42 PM CST up reply actions  

He might have to.

Like you said our playmakers need to step it up a bit. Harden has been getting some pretty good 3 point looks though and they’ll start to fall eventually. I’m not totally sure but I think Westbrook has had quiet first halfs in a lot of the recent games but tends to get his points later in the game.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 8:51 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, I agree.

There’s no way our guards will be shut out in a high-scoring game like this one.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 8:56 PM CST up reply actions  

So I suppose every quarter will proceed as so....

Bucks jump out to a lead.
The game stablizes.
The Thunder close the quarter strong.
Rinse, lather, repeat.

Also, I really like Boguts cheering crowd section, Squad 6. They remind me of Japanese Baseball chanters and crazed soccer fans rolled together into one. I only wish every team had a section like that.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 8:39 PM CST reply actions  

Krstic Coming alive

And it looks like we might actually start to pull away!

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 8:55 PM CST reply actions  

Yikes

And just as quickly the Bucks are back in the lead.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 9:04 PM CST up reply actions  

Flopping

Looks like Bogut is doing a good job teaching the rest of the Bucks how to be prime floppers.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 9:18 PM CST reply actions  

Or maybe not.

They aren’t really drawing many calls off of it.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 9:21 PM CST up reply actions  

Heh

At least Collison got a flop call of his own.

But, if the bucks can’t defend, I suppose flopping is the next best thing.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 9:24 PM CST up reply actions  

I think we got this one.

Your friendly neighborhood Loud City resident.

by daddydai on Jan 2, 2010 9:25 PM CST reply actions  

I wouldn't be so sure yet

It’s still tied, and the bucks are refusing to let us have a run.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 9:35 PM CST up reply actions  

Whoh, I just saw Kelvin Sampson!

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 9:35 PM CST reply actions  

This is getting far too close.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 9:46 PM CST reply actions  

0.2 difference

Get it to Durant for the last shot and hopefully it won’t go into OT.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 9:49 PM CST reply actions  

Interesting

Didn’t really think there was enough time on the clock to have Durant inbound it.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 9:52 PM CST reply actions  

Horrible Playcalling

They gave it to KD, who had scored 2 points in the 4th. Then, he gets himself trapped near the halfcourt line. I saw that play coming from a mile away, and so did the Bucks. Why did it have to be a 3, even? Sheesh. There’s absolutely no reason this game should be going to OT.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 9:53 PM CST reply actions  

I don't know

I think giving the ball to the Durant for the shot was the right move, he’s only made 2 points in the fourth but he’s also the only one that has been able to put the ball down with any consistency.

I question him inbounding the ball. I think with 4 seconds on the clock someone else inbounds it and gets it to him before they have a chance to double team him.

As far as the half court deal. Yeah, KD can’t handle the ball well enough to take on a double team that far back and have any decent outcome.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 9:57 PM CST up reply actions  

In all honesty

I would rather have had Westbrook charge down the lane. The Bucks are afraid to foul, and afraid to let him score. It also is unexpected, as most think KD would get the opportunity.

I think a prime rule in basketball is to feed the hot hand, rather than feeding the best guy all of the time. Even though there was no real “hot hand” at the time, having KD brick another three is not the answer to the end of the game woes.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 10:01 PM CST up reply actions  

I don’t think the idea was to have KD shoot a three I think the double team led to that.

I do agree with you that I’d rather have Westbrook handle a situation like that than KD.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 10:05 PM CST up reply actions  

I like nail biters, but this is ridiculous.

Your friendly neighborhood Loud City resident.

by daddydai on Jan 2, 2010 10:01 PM CST reply actions  

Russell Westbrook with the backdoor play!

Back in front!

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 10:04 PM CST reply actions  

Ridnour wants the SuperSonics back....

He HATES us!

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 10:08 PM CST reply actions  

That is why we traded his butt.

Your friendly neighborhood Loud City resident.

by daddydai on Jan 2, 2010 10:16 PM CST up reply actions  

Why is Krstic in right now?

His defense is hopeless. Put Ibaka in!

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 10:08 PM CST reply actions  

if westbrook could make 35% of his shots.

he’d be a hell of a ball player. he must be shooting under 30 for the year.

twitter.com/aighttho
http://howmuchyouthink.tumblr.com/

by stingy d on Jan 2, 2010 10:11 PM CST reply actions  

He's shooting 39%, actually.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 10:12 PM CST up reply actions  

yea i figured he can't be worse than chris duhon

so i fact checked myself, he’s not.

twitter.com/aighttho
http://howmuchyouthink.tumblr.com/

by stingy d on Jan 2, 2010 10:14 PM CST up reply actions  

ok so i looked it up

just under 40. it seems like he misses a ton of shots though.

twitter.com/aighttho
http://howmuchyouthink.tumblr.com/

by stingy d on Jan 2, 2010 10:13 PM CST up reply actions  

He attacks the basket a lot and draws a lot of fouls and it seems like he misses a lot more than he does.

His % has been down lately though but I’ll take it considering how well he’s cut down on turnovers.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 10:14 PM CST up reply actions  

you're right

in time, he’ll be efficient. and an absolute nightmare for opposing teams.

twitter.com/aighttho
http://howmuchyouthink.tumblr.com/

by stingy d on Jan 2, 2010 10:16 PM CST up reply actions  

Agreed.

And I don’t really think you can fault him for tonight’s performance. He essentially carried the team through the late 4th and in OT. Granted, his earlier game could have used some work, but he’s the reason the game went to OT at all.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 10:16 PM CST up reply actions  

13 assists and 0 turns...

plus one rebound away from a trip dub. I’m so proud of Westbrook.

Your friendly neighborhood Loud City resident.

by daddydai on Jan 2, 2010 10:19 PM CST up reply actions  

yea he has been playing pretty fantastic

but his shooting toch, honestly is a hindrance. i haven’t seen much thunder, as a knick fan, in ny, without league pass. but i really love your team.

twitter.com/aighttho
http://howmuchyouthink.tumblr.com/

by stingy d on Jan 2, 2010 10:21 PM CST up reply actions  

For sure.

That’s some REAL point guard play right there. I still have no doubt he’s our PG of the future.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 10:22 PM CST up reply actions  

Ugh, did we seriously just lose to the BUCKS?

Ugh. I haven’t felt this bad since we lost to the Kings.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 10:14 PM CST reply actions  

At least it was a good game.

Your friendly neighborhood Loud City resident.

by daddydai on Jan 2, 2010 10:17 PM CST up reply actions  

I don’t feel to bad about it. Milwaukee has beaten some good teams at home and while they’ve been playing pretty bad lately they still have some talent.

And I guess when we have Krstic defending Bogut with the game on the line we get what we deserve.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 10:17 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah

putting Krstic in was a big mistake.

Still, this was a very winnable game. We just couldn’t get anybody to score on a consistent or efficient basis besides KD, the Centers with their usual garbage points, and Westbrook at the end of the game. Maynor and Harden didn’t really help, and Green was completely off. We deserve the loss, but I still hate to see it.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 10:21 PM CST up reply actions  

putting Krstic in was a big mistake.

Yes Sir!!! Who cares if Collison has 4 fouls, or if Collison is smaller than Bogut. He is our best rebounder. Period.

Your friendly neighborhood Loud City resident.

by daddydai on Jan 2, 2010 10:32 PM CST up reply actions  

Still, I loved the over-extended horn.

It was a fitting end to the game.

Tony.psd = Da Man
Manger of Welcome to Loud City
#1 Warriors, Thunder, and Adonal Foyle Fan

by Zorgon on Jan 2, 2010 10:14 PM CST reply actions  

i hope you guys get chris bosh

twitter.com/aighttho
http://howmuchyouthink.tumblr.com/

by stingy d on Jan 2, 2010 10:22 PM CST reply actions  

on a completely other note.

twitter.com/aighttho
http://howmuchyouthink.tumblr.com/

by stingy d on Jan 2, 2010 10:24 PM CST up reply actions  

Okay, I'm kinda pissed now.

I’m looking at the boxscore…

Krstic played 22 minutes and did not get a single rebound!!!!

Your friendly neighborhood Loud City resident.

by daddydai on Jan 2, 2010 10:37 PM CST reply actions  

Yeah.

He was pretty much worthless tonight with the exception of the baskets right after the half that helped to spark that run.

Collison is getting more minutes lately and the team is benefiting. Serge played 15 minutes and had 9 points, 3 rebounds, and 2 blocked shots to compliment Collison.

I like when Krstic is hitting his jumper, it really helps to open up the paint for the rest of the team but when he isn’t knocking them down we have better options.

by belt on Jan 2, 2010 10:48 PM CST up reply actions  


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Denver 15 10 .600 5 Lost 3
Portland 14 11 .560 6 Lost 1
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Utah 13 11 .541 6.5 Lost 2

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